A Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 1: Goals
If you’re a long term reader of this blog, you may be aware that I’m anti-investment. It’s not so much that I’m opposed to the concept, but I do not believe any of the typical investments in the first...
View ArticleA Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 2: A Theoretical Foundation Based...
(Part 1) If we’re going to achieve the relatively dramatic speculative goals laid out in part 1 of this series, it’s going to be essential to find financial instruments which are incorrectly priced and...
View ArticleA Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 3: Grabbing The Easy Money
( Part 1, Part 2) In part two, we looked at stock market inefficiencies and how the Shiller PE allows us to spot them. Now that we know there’s inefficiency, the question becomes how to grab some of...
View ArticleA Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 4: Hedging & Beta Neutral Spreads
( part 1, part 2. part 3) Before continuing, you need to have a solid grasp of alpha and beta – otherwise the rest of this article will make no sense. Back in part three, we developed a method for...
View ArticleA Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 5: Dividend Stocks, Program...
(part 1, part 2, part 3, part 4) Last time we determined that beta neutral spreads are the perfect instrument to use in our speculative portfolio. Now we need to decide which spreads. Sadly, that’s...
View ArticleA Speculative Alternative To Investing Part 6: Wrap Up
(part 1, part 2, part 3, part 4, part 5) We’re almost done. In part five, we figured out what the major stock positions in our portfolio are going to look like. Now it’s time to clean up some lose...
View ArticleSpeculative Alternatives Portfolio Update – 9/17/2012
We do have a transaction in the speculative alternatives portfolio today. We’re buying Clorox (CLX) to cover and selling the associated hedge. Here was the portfolio before the transaction: Short 18%...
View ArticleSpeculative Alternatives Portfolio Update – 10/22/2012
We have transactions in the speculative alternatives portfolio today. Abbott Labs (ABT) has regressed to the moving average and should be bought to cover. My buy price was $65.82. Northwest Natural...
View ArticleReally Lazy Speculative Alternatives Update 11/19/2012
We have a couple trades in the speculative alternatives portfolio that should have happened last week, but I was being a total slacker and din’t post them. The changes: Go from short to long GLD Short...
View ArticleSpeculative Alternatives Updates, 6 Month Review, And Some Thoughts on...
Once again I’ve been horribly late in updating the speculative alternatives portfolio. Two positions have changed since I posted about it last: Nov. 26: Exit the J&J position & associated...
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